Go-zone Get Away!

This isn’t about private lending, but this scam is so dangerous, I felt I had to warn you about it.

I recently heard a webinar about investing in the Gulfport-Biloxi area of Mississippi.  The marketing story is that the US Treasury is providing generous tax breaks for investors that buy property down there (true).  However, remember that you have to Make Money Before you can Pay Taxes on it!  And the truth of the matter is  that Biloxi is being sold by desperate speculators and developers to the unwary investors.

Here’s how the scam goes.  The developer is offering very attractive terms to purchase the property and build a townhouse.  10% cash down and the rest financed.  Once the property is built, it will be managed by a local management co. and all the investor has to do is pick up the check.  The only “fly in the ointment” is that these properties cannot be sold for the cost of the build out, and cannot be rented to anything close to the mortgage payment, operation costs and management fee! 

For example, I saw a developer claim that a $250,000 townhome could rent at $2050 a month! Really??  I don’t think you’d get that in Florida in it’s heyday–in Mississippi, one of the poorest states in the country–come on!  In fact, students tell me that getting even $1000/mo for rent would be a stretch.

And oh yes, even if you were in fairy land and got $2050/mo, your net cashflow would only be $67/mo!  Heck, if your home went empty for 2 weeks you’d be in the red for the entire year!

Bottomline: the developer has unloaded his massive debt and the investor is stuck paying a large fee on an empty property until he is forced into foreclosure!

Here’s the hard evidence as shown in the 2 graphs: the first is an inflation adjusted home price index.  I shows that home prices have peaked and are starting to fall. 

The second-the more telling one plots the home price appreciation index.  This graph clearly shows that appreciation rates peaked late in 2006 and have been falling precipitously ever since.  In fact, home values are now depreciating.

We also have gotten reports from students who have gotten burned by swallowing the hype and are now stuck with big mortgages and property they can’t rent or sell!  This is the classic losing scenario–buy high, sell low.

My advice, stay away from the Gozone - it looks pretty, but it will kill you financially.  If you really want to invest in this area, wait about 18-24 months, then pick up these newly built properties which will now be in foreclosure with a short sale from the lenders, and then flip them or rent them out.

 

biloxi price chart

biloxi price chart

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Comments

  1. shelley
    June 25th, 2008 | 3:24 pm

    I have put down a small deposit for a condo in Ocean Springs Mississippi, 5 minutes from Biloxi. They will be rented out as vacation rentals (GOZONE) The job growth there is tremendous and Forbes has said it is one of the best places to invest in, in the US today. The name of the complex is called Harbor Landing, is in a Marina awith it’s own individual dock. Does anyone know anything about this project?

  2. July 24th, 2008 | 11:32 am

    Thanks for exposing this. I saw this “opportunity” a couple of weeks ago and reached the same conclusion based on investment experience that I and some friends have in MS. There are real opportunities in MS to buy and hold rentals but the numbers need to work at rents around $600 to 700 at most.

  3. Steve
    July 24th, 2008 | 11:54 am

    Thanks for the info, I have been contacted about this and felt as though it was a con. I am somewhat familiar with Mississippi and know the economy there. Keep passing the word of this stuff.

  4. July 26th, 2008 | 10:09 am

    My work is in property development and we in Australia would very much like
    access to private funds? We have been developing properties for 20 years and have some great opportunities here in Sydney.

    Regards

    Margot Locke

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